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Shifting from government defined planned infrastructure to the Internet example of setting Performance Standards will result in:

  • 5 million new jobs
  • an increase of $5,000 in disposable income per working family
  • greater mobility
  • with zero emissions

A Resolution that a city may adapt in setting Performance Standards and a calculation estimate of jobs creation.

Resolution on Transportation Performance Standard

WHEREAS, the transportation networks are the circulatory system of our economy essential to the general welfare and common defense; and

WHEREAS, the American Society of Civil Engineers graded US road quality as a “D”, collapse of the I-35W Bridge and the traffic jams/pot-holes/safety risks on local streets underscore the need to invest in transportation infrastructure; and

WHEREAS, between $27 to $57 trillion of investments and costs required to sustain oil-based transportation through 2020; and

Details:
  • IEA: International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2008 states the following:
    • “The world’s energy system is at a crossroads. Current global trends in energy supply and consumption are patently unsustainable — environmentally, economically, socially.”
    • “It is not an exaggeration to claim that the future of human prosperity depends on how successfully we tackle the two central energy challenges facing us today: securing the supply of reliable and affordable energy; and effecting a rapid transformation to a low-carbon, efficient and environmentally benign system of energy supply.”
    • “What is needed is nothing short of an energy revolution.”
    • Current oil fields are depleting at 6.7% per year.
    • Maintaining access to fossil fuels will requires investments through 2030 of $26 trillion ($18 trillion applied to the 2020 estimate).
    • Clean-up from use of fossil fuels requires an investment of $45 trillion through 2050 ($22.5 trillion applied to the 2020 estimate).
    • Project Transitions, an EIA document, outlines investments of $26 trillion in oil infrastructure through 2030. This does not count the cost to buy oil, cars or to build and fix roads.
    • US is a Treaty member of the IEA, pledging the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in support of all members.
  • Congress created the National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission to report on requirements for “the surface transportation system to meet the needs of the United States for the 21st Century,” and it reported investments needs in 2008:
    • Total highway expenditure needs are estimated at $4.9 trillion through 2020; $10.0 trillion through 2035; and $18.3 trillion through 2055, stated in constant 2005 dollars.
    • Total transit needs on a cumulative basis in constant 2005 dollars are estimated to be $1.1 trillion through 2020, $2.4 trillion through 2035 and $4.4 trillion through 2055. These estimates are the sum of the constant dollar estimates for each year.
    • An increase in fees of about $0.71 per gallon of gas.
  • The US consumes approximately $600 billion of oil year (20 mbd at $80 per barrel) or $6.5 trillion through 2020.
  • Changing the US automobile fleet to more fuel-efficient cars requires an investment of $4 trillion (200 million cars at $20,000 each).
  • Unlike a distributed network of windmills and solar collectors that each operate based on local conditions, an oil-based energy system is monolithic, a single entity.  The entire investment must be made on time to avoid system-wide, cascading failures.  Example, a lack of diesel delays coal mining that powers electrical generation to deliver drinking water.  The Potato Famines of the mid-1800’s resulted from a similar monolithic dependence on a single energy source.

WHEREAS, freight railroads set a sustainable energy efficiency standard of moving goods at 436 ton-miles per gallon of diesel; and

WHEREAS, automobile transportation is worse than 99% inefficient relative to freight rail (220 pound person at 22 mpg of gasoline versus 436 ton-miles per gallon of diesel); and

WHEREAS, the typical working family spends $10,300 each year in congested, repetitive automobile transportation that is 97% fuel inefficient relative to freight rail; and

WHEREAS, cities that displace 10% of automobile travel with public transportation (transport as a service) increase working family disposable income by about $1,000 (from $10,300 to $9,300, same reference as above), and

WHEREAS, energy use per passenger mile of existing modes of transportation do not substantially alter energy inefficiency of the automobile; and

Details (Source)
Mode Load BTU's Watt-hours Gas mpg Gas km/liter Diesel mpg Diesel km/liter
JPods 1.57 433 127   264.4 112.3 321.0 136.4
Cars 1.57 3,512 1033   32.6 16.8 39.6 16.8
Personal trucks 1.72 3,944 1160   29.0 15.0 35.2 15.0
Motorcycles 1.20 1,855 546   61.7 31.8 74.9 31.8
Demand response 1.00 14,301 4207   8.0 4.1 9.7 4.1
Vanpool 6.10 1,322 389   86.6 44.7 105.1 44.7
Bus, Transit 8.80 4,235 1246   27.0 13.9 32.8 13.9
Air, domestic 96.20 3,261 959   35.1 18.1 42.6 18.1
Rail, Amtrak 20.50 2,650 780   43.2 22.3 52.5 22.3
Rail, Transit (light & heavy) 22.50 2,784 819   41.1 21.2 49.9 21.2
Rail, Commuter 31.30 2,996 881   38.2 19.7 46.4 19.7

WHEREAS, the typical worker loses a work-week a year (45 hours) to congestion in automobile transportation (Texas Transportation Institute); and

WHEREAS, inventing sustainable transportation networks that approach the efficiencies of freight rail can pay for their deployment from oil cost savings and preempt some of the $57 trillion investments/costs required for oil-based transportation; and

WHEREAS, most breakthrough innovations (examples:  manned flight, personal computer, home Internet, laser data storage devices, penicillin, vulcanized rubber, cell phones, Google) were not planned under government regulations or funding but evolved from unsanctioned, privately funded entrepreneurs; and

WHEREAS, communications infrastructure changed from Planned to Performance Standards in 1984 and has since re-tooled from analog to digital to wireless creating vast numbers of companies, jobs and wealth; and

WHEREAS, there is a need to for innovation in creating sustainable jobs as indicated by unemployment increases of 403,000 in September, 320,000 in October and 533,000 in December 2008,

WHEREAS, deploying sustainable infrastructure can create at least 5 million jobs; and

NOW, THEREFORE, ________Government Entity________, by virtue of the power invested by the Constitution and the statutes of the State of _________, do hereby order effective immediately:

  • Change the lifeblood of our economy from oil to ingenuity by changing government management of power generation and transportation infrastructure from Planned to Performance Standards.
  • Set Performance Standards for urban transportation at 265 watt-hours per passenger mile (958 BTU’s, 126 mpg).  This is three times better than Commuter Rail and 3.7 times better than Automobiles.
  • Require all state, county and city governments and agencies to implement procedures allowing rights of way access to privately capitalized attempts to innovate transportation capable of achieving or exceeding 265 watt-hours per passenger mile.
  • The Secretary of Transportation will implement a safety certification and insurance practices to minimize predatorial legal and insurance actions from blocking innovations that meet this energy efficiency standard and exceed the safety record of automobiles.
  • The Secretary of Commerce/Economic Development will create an accounting means for the carbon credits from such transportation networks.
  • The Secretary of Commerce will implement Feed-in Tariffs to utilized excess electricity that may be harvested by such networks from renewable power sources.
  • The Secretary of Commerce will coordinate with public utilities to collaborate in deploying such systems into existing use of rights of way.
  • The Secretary of Treasury/Finance will create Lincoln-Judah 30-year Bonds at 6% (named for those who structured the financing of the Transcontinental Railroad construction/operations) to finance operation of transportation systems that:
    • Exceed the energy performance standard.
    • Are built with private capital.
    • Are put into profitable operations that can repay the bonds.
    • Achieve public policy objective of reduced emissions.
    • Achieve public policy objective of affordable mobility regardless of age, ability or wealth.
    • Achieve public policy objective of sustainable transportation.
    • Intend to recycle the private construction capital to expand networks.

IN WITNESS WHEREOF I have here unto set my hand and caused the Great Seal of the _________________ to be affixed this the first day of December 2008.

Background on Job Creation by deploying Personal Rapid Transit network that displaces 70% of oil-powered transportation. Labor is estimated at 14% of the $11 trillion cost to implement. Construction should be privately financed so the focus is on adding the most value at the lowest practical costs, profit. Once in profitable operation, financing should be converted to 30 year bonds. This will free risk capital to be recycled so more rails can be built. Payback on large scale networks is 5-15 years. Using 30-year government-backed bonds provides enough time to assure payback.

Current cost of transportation per working family is reduced from the current $10,300 to about $5,200.

80% Urban Network Labor % Labor Component in $ Cost per Job Working Family Disposable
1.4 million miles 14% 70000 Transport Costs Income
$11 trillion 1,540,000,000,000 Jobs Created $10,300
1 0.05 770,000,000 11,000 $10,297 $3
2 0.5   7,700,000,000 110,000 $10,272 $28
3 0.8   12,320,000,000 176,000 $10,230 $70
4 2   30,800,000,000 440,000 $10,127 $173
5 4   61,600,000,000 880,000 $9,921 $379
6 7   107,800,000,000   1,540,000 $9,561 $739
7 11   169,400,000,000   2,420,000 $8,994 $1,306
8 17   261,800,000,000   3,740,000 $8,119 $2,181
9 24   369,600,000,000   5,280,000 $6,883 $3,417
10 17   261,800,000,000   3,740,000 $6,007 $4,293
11 10   154,000,000,000   2,200,000 $5,492 $4,808
12 6   92,400,000,000   1,320,000 $5,183 $5,117