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Shifting from government defined planned
infrastructure to the Internet example of setting Performance Standards
will result in:
- 5 million new jobs
- an increase of $5,000 in disposable income per
working family
- greater mobility
- with zero emissions
A Resolution that a city may adapt in setting
Performance Standards and a calculation estimate of jobs creation.
Resolution on Transportation
Performance Standard
WHEREAS, the transportation networks are the
circulatory system of our economy essential to the general welfare and
common defense; and
WHEREAS, the American Society of Civil Engineers
graded US road quality as a “D”, collapse of the I-35W
Bridge and the traffic jams/pot-holes/safety risks on local streets
underscore the need to invest in transportation infrastructure; and
WHEREAS, between $27 to $57 trillion of
investments and costs required to sustain oil-based transportation
through 2020; and
Details:
- IEA: International Energy Agency World Energy
Outlook 2008 states the following:
- “The world’s energy system is at
a crossroads. Current global trends in energy supply and consumption
are patently unsustainable — environmentally, economically,
socially.”
- “It is not an exaggeration to claim
that the future of human prosperity depends on how successfully we
tackle the two central energy challenges facing us today: securing the
supply of reliable and affordable energy; and effecting a rapid
transformation to a low-carbon, efficient and environmentally benign
system of energy supply.”
- “What is needed is nothing short of an
energy revolution.”
- Current oil fields are depleting at 6.7% per
year.
- Maintaining access to fossil fuels will
requires investments through 2030 of $26 trillion ($18 trillion applied
to the 2020 estimate).
- Clean-up from use of fossil fuels requires an
investment of $45 trillion through 2050 ($22.5 trillion applied to the
2020 estimate).
- Project Transitions,
an EIA document, outlines investments of $26 trillion in oil
infrastructure through 2030. This does not count the cost to buy oil,
cars or to build and fix roads.
- US is a Treaty member of the IEA, pledging
the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in support of all members.
- Congress created the National
Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission to
report on requirements for “the surface transportation system to
meet the needs of the United States for the 21st Century,” and it
reported investments needs in 2008:
- Total highway expenditure needs are estimated
at $4.9 trillion through 2020; $10.0 trillion through 2035; and $18.3
trillion through 2055, stated in constant 2005 dollars.
- Total transit needs on a cumulative basis in
constant 2005 dollars are estimated to be $1.1 trillion through 2020,
$2.4 trillion through 2035 and $4.4 trillion through 2055. These
estimates are the sum of the constant dollar estimates for each year.
- An increase in fees of about $0.71 per gallon
of gas.
- The US consumes approximately $600 billion of
oil year (20 mbd at $80 per barrel) or $6.5 trillion through 2020.
- Changing the US automobile fleet to more
fuel-efficient cars requires an investment of $4 trillion (200 million
cars at $20,000 each).
- Unlike a distributed network of windmills and
solar collectors that each operate based on local conditions, an
oil-based energy system is monolithic, a single entity. The
entire investment must be made on time to avoid system-wide, cascading
failures. Example, a lack of diesel delays coal mining that
powers electrical generation to deliver drinking water. The
Potato Famines of the mid-1800’s resulted from a similar
monolithic dependence on a single energy source.
WHEREAS, freight railroads set a sustainable
energy efficiency standard of moving goods at 436 ton-miles per gallon
of diesel; and
WHEREAS, automobile transportation is worse than
99% inefficient relative to freight rail (220 pound person at 22 mpg of
gasoline versus 436 ton-miles per gallon of diesel); and
WHEREAS, the typical working
family spends $10,300 each year in congested, repetitive automobile
transportation that is 97% fuel inefficient relative to freight rail;
and
WHEREAS, cities that displace 10% of automobile
travel with public transportation (transport as a service) increase
working family disposable income by about $1,000 (from $10,300 to
$9,300, same reference as above), and
WHEREAS, energy use per passenger mile of existing
modes of transportation do not substantially alter energy inefficiency
of the automobile; and
Details (Source)
| Mode |
Load |
BTU's |
Watt-hours |
|
Gas mpg |
Gas km/liter |
Diesel mpg |
Diesel km/liter |
| JPods |
1.57 |
433 |
127 |
|
264.4 |
112.3 |
321.0 |
136.4 |
| Cars |
1.57 |
3,512 |
1033 |
|
32.6 |
16.8 |
39.6 |
16.8 |
| Personal trucks |
1.72 |
3,944 |
1160 |
|
29.0 |
15.0 |
35.2 |
15.0 |
| Motorcycles |
1.20 |
1,855 |
546 |
|
61.7 |
31.8 |
74.9 |
31.8 |
| Demand response |
1.00 |
14,301 |
4207 |
|
8.0 |
4.1 |
9.7 |
4.1 |
| Vanpool |
6.10 |
1,322 |
389 |
|
86.6 |
44.7 |
105.1 |
44.7 |
| Bus, Transit |
8.80 |
4,235 |
1246 |
|
27.0 |
13.9 |
32.8 |
13.9 |
| Air, domestic |
96.20 |
3,261 |
959 |
|
35.1 |
18.1 |
42.6 |
18.1 |
| Rail, Amtrak |
20.50 |
2,650 |
780 |
|
43.2 |
22.3 |
52.5 |
22.3 |
| Rail, Transit (light &
heavy) |
22.50 |
2,784 |
819 |
|
41.1 |
21.2 |
49.9 |
21.2 |
| Rail, Commuter |
31.30 |
2,996 |
881 |
|
38.2 |
19.7 |
46.4 |
19.7 |
WHEREAS, the typical worker loses a work-week a
year (45 hours) to congestion in automobile transportation (Texas
Transportation Institute); and
WHEREAS, inventing sustainable transportation
networks that approach the efficiencies of freight rail can pay for
their deployment from oil cost savings and preempt some of the $57
trillion investments/costs required for oil-based transportation; and
WHEREAS, most breakthrough innovations
(examples: manned flight, personal computer, home Internet, laser
data storage devices, penicillin, vulcanized rubber, cell phones,
Google) were not planned under government regulations or funding but
evolved from unsanctioned, privately funded entrepreneurs; and
WHEREAS, communications infrastructure changed
from Planned to Performance Standards in 1984 and has since re-tooled
from analog to digital to wireless creating vast numbers of companies,
jobs and wealth; and
WHEREAS, there is a need to for innovation in
creating sustainable jobs as indicated by unemployment increases of
403,000 in September, 320,000 in October and 533,000 in December 2008,
WHEREAS, deploying sustainable infrastructure can
create at least 5 million jobs; and
NOW, THEREFORE, ________Government Entity________,
by virtue of the power invested by the Constitution and the statutes of
the State of _________, do hereby order effective immediately:
- Change the lifeblood of our economy from oil to
ingenuity by changing government management of power generation and
transportation infrastructure from Planned to Performance Standards.
- Set Performance Standards for urban
transportation at 265 watt-hours per passenger mile (958 BTU’s,
126 mpg). This is three times better than Commuter Rail and 3.7
times better than Automobiles.
- Require all state, county and city governments
and agencies to implement procedures allowing rights of way access to
privately capitalized attempts to innovate transportation capable of
achieving or exceeding 265 watt-hours per passenger mile.
- The Secretary of Transportation will implement
a safety certification and insurance practices to minimize predatorial
legal and insurance actions from blocking innovations that meet this
energy efficiency standard and exceed the safety record of automobiles.
- The Secretary of Commerce/Economic Development
will create an accounting means for the carbon credits from such
transportation networks.
- The Secretary of Commerce will implement
Feed-in Tariffs to utilized excess electricity that may be harvested by
such networks from renewable power sources.
- The Secretary of Commerce will coordinate with
public utilities to collaborate in deploying such systems into existing
use of rights of way.
- The Secretary of Treasury/Finance will create
Lincoln-Judah 30-year Bonds at 6% (named for those who structured the
financing of the Transcontinental Railroad construction/operations) to
finance operation of transportation systems that:
- Exceed the energy performance standard.
- Are built with private capital.
- Are put into profitable operations that can
repay the bonds.
- Achieve public policy objective of reduced
emissions.
- Achieve public policy objective of affordable
mobility regardless of age, ability or wealth.
- Achieve public policy objective of
sustainable transportation.
- Intend to recycle the private construction
capital to expand networks.
IN WITNESS WHEREOF I have here unto set my hand
and caused the Great Seal of the _________________ to be affixed this
the first day of December 2008.
Background on Job Creation by deploying Personal
Rapid Transit network that displaces 70% of oil-powered transportation.
Labor is estimated at 14% of the $11 trillion cost to implement.
Construction should be privately financed so the focus is on adding the
most value at the lowest practical costs, profit. Once in profitable
operation, financing should be converted to 30 year bonds. This will
free risk capital to be recycled so more rails can be built. Payback on
large scale networks is 5-15 years. Using 30-year government-backed
bonds provides enough time to assure payback.
Current cost of transportation per working family
is reduced from the current $10,300 to about $5,200.
| 80% Urban Network |
Labor % |
Labor Component
in $ |
Cost per Job |
Working Family |
Disposable |
| 1.4 million miles |
14% |
|
70000 |
Transport Costs |
Income |
| $11 trillion |
|
1,540,000,000,000 |
Jobs Created |
$10,300 |
|
| 1 |
0.05 |
770,000,000 |
11,000 |
$10,297 |
$3 |
| 2 |
0.5 |
7,700,000,000 |
110,000 |
$10,272 |
$28 |
| 3 |
0.8 |
12,320,000,000 |
176,000 |
$10,230 |
$70 |
| 4 |
2 |
30,800,000,000 |
440,000 |
$10,127 |
$173 |
| 5 |
4 |
61,600,000,000 |
880,000 |
$9,921 |
$379 |
| 6 |
7 |
107,800,000,000 |
1,540,000 |
$9,561 |
$739 |
| 7 |
11 |
169,400,000,000 |
2,420,000 |
$8,994 |
$1,306 |
| 8 |
17 |
261,800,000,000 |
3,740,000 |
$8,119 |
$2,181 |
| 9 |
24 |
369,600,000,000 |
5,280,000 |
$6,883 |
$3,417 |
| 10 |
17 |
261,800,000,000 |
3,740,000 |
$6,007 |
$4,293 |
| 11 |
10 |
154,000,000,000 |
2,200,000 |
$5,492 |
$4,808 |
| 12 |
6 |
92,400,000,000 |
1,320,000 |
$5,183 |
$5,117 |
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