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Traffic costs:

Americans spend $2.76 trillion/year to sit in traffic jams and waiting for mass transit:

70% of car miles in the US are driven in cities (JPods’ market niche). Each car costs a family about $9,282, is parked 95% of the time with ~85% of car costs leave the local economy. 2.24 cars per household (278.06 million cars,   124.01 million households)

Payback

List of 10X paybacks.

Strong Towns

About $1 trillion per year of costs can be recovered as value (customer savings and profitable revenue). Link to PowerPoint and KeyNote presentation. There is over a $trillion per of waste that can be converted to profits and customer savings by repeating in transportation the success of restoring communication infrastructure to free markets in 1982.

Baseline operating costs per passenger-mile

Morgantown PRT Audit

This 5 years payback is consistent with the 2010 audit of the Morgantown PRT network and Kiva systems conversion of a $33 million investment into a $775 million sale to Amazon.

Maps: Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri

Simplified payback based on traffic volumes (Texas)

cars/day cost diff pay v costD Service Premium
              15,000  miles/day miles/year cost diff Cost years Service Premium
0.7 years 1.2 years 1.5 years
20           3,000     1,095,000         744,600                       27           521,220                38       893,520 22 1,116,900                18
30           4,500     1,642,500      1,116,900                       18           781,830                26    1,340,280 15 1,675,350                12
40           6,000     2,190,000      1,489,200                       13        1,042,440                19    1,787,040 11 2,233,800                  9
50           7,500     2,737,500      1,861,500                       11        1,303,050                15    2,233,800  9 2,792,250                  7
60           9,000     3,285,000      2,233,800                         9        1,563,660                13    2,680,560  7 3,350,700                  6
70         10,500     3,832,500      2,606,100                         8        1,824,270                11    3,127,320 6 3,909,150                  5
80         12,000     4,380,000      2,978,400                         7        2,084,880                10    3,574,080 6 4,467,600                  4
cost diff pay v costD Service Premium
              25,000  miles/day miles/year cost diff Cost years Service Premium
0.7 years 1.2 years 1.5 years
20           5,000     1,825,000      1,241,000                       16           868,700                23    1,489,200 13 1,861,500                11
30           7,500     2,737,500      1,861,500                       11        1,303,050                15    2,233,800  9  2,792,250                  7
40         10,000     3,650,000      2,482,000                         8        1,737,400                12    2,978,400 7 3,723,000                  5
50         12,500     4,562,500      3,102,500                         6        2,171,750                  9    3,723,000 5 4,653,750                  4
60         15,000     5,475,000      3,723,000                         5        2,606,100                  8    4,467,600 4 5,584,500                  4
70         17,500     6,387,500      4,343,500                         5        3,040,450                  7    5,212,200 4 6,515,250                  3
80         20,000     7,300,000      4,964,000                         4        3,474,800                  6    5,956,800 3 7,446,000                  3
cost diff pay v costD Service Premium
              35,000  miles/day miles/year cost diff Cost years Service Premium
0.7 years 1.2 years 1.5 years
20           7,000     2,555,000      1,737,400                       12        1,216,180                16    2,084,880 10 2,606,100                  8
30         10,500     3,832,500      2,606,100                         8        1,824,270                11    3,127,320 6 3,909,150                  5
40         14,000     5,110,000      3,474,800                         6        2,432,360                  8    4,169,760 5 5,212,200                  4
50         17,500     6,387,500      4,343,500                         5        3,040,450                  7    5,212,200 4 6,515,250                  3
60         21,000     7,665,000      5,212,200                         4        3,648,540                  5    6,254,640 3 7,818,300                  3
70         24,500     8,942,500      6,080,900                         3        4,256,630                  5    7,297,080 3 9,121,350                  2
80         28,000   10,220,000      6,949,600                         3        4,864,720                  4    8,339,520 2 10,424,400         2

Detailed Payback Calculations

Spreadsheet

Capital Payback — update this

To accomplish this cost to value change will requires about 500,000 miles of JPods, Hyperloop, ET3 and other networks. This is about 4 times the amount of freight railroads (140,000 miles) and 1/4th the lane miles of urban roads (nearly 2 million). At $10 million per mile, the cost of this retooling is about $5 trillion. The effort will pay for itself about every 5 years. H

Also reference AntiPlanner.

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