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West Point, 2011

United States Military Academy, West Point, NY

System Engineering: Decision Making in Systems Engineering and Management
by, Gregory S. Parnell, Ph.D., Editor
by, Patrick J. Driscoll, Ph.D., Editor
by, Dale L. Henderson, Ph.D., Design Editor

In fact, one of the most significant failings of the current U.S. transportation system is that the automobile was never thought of as being part of a system until recently. It was developed and introduced during a period that saw the automobile as a standalone technology largely replacing the horse and carriage. So long as it outperformed the previous equine technology, it was considered a success. This success is not nearly so apparent if the automobile is examined from a systems thinking perspective. In that guise, it has managed to fail miserably across a host of dimensions. Many of these can be observed in any major US city today: oversized cars and trucks negotiating tight roads and streets, bridges and tunnels incapable of handling daily traffic density, insufficient parking, poor air quality induced in areas where regional air circulation geography restricts free flow of wind, a distribution of the working population to suburban locations necessitating automobile transportation, and so on. Had the automobile been developed as a multilateral system interconnected with urban (and rural) transportation networks and environmental systems, U.S. cities would be in a much different situation than they find themselves in today.

What is important here is not that the automobile could have been developed differently, but that in choosing to design, develop and deploy the automobile as a stand alone technology, a host of complementary transportation solutions to replace the horse and buggy were not considered.

The United States Military Academy at West Point has a long and effective history of engineering excellence and dedication to the nation. The institution has no affiliation with JPods except to tinker with sustainable infrastructure ideas as part of the mission to produce leaders for the nation:

JPods founders are West Point graduates. Their efforts to re-tool to sustainable infrastructure started in 1998 to end foreign oil addiction. Those efforts were founded in their West Point education and the duty to sever the nation regardless of the lack of short term profits.

The following text reference and studies by cadets are provided as is examples of efforts to understand and implement sustainable infrastructure.

These project studies were conducted by non-engineering students as part of their Systems Engineering requirements.

 

Alternative Networks

A physical version of the Internet is coming with high speed networks such as Hyperloop, commuter-ranged networks like JPods, last-mile and specialty solutions such as self-driving cars and drones. Here is a link to news on these developments. Below is a video of JPods network contracted for in Shaxian, China.

 

Cadet Systems Engineering Projects

 

B1G

Final Report
PowerPoint

 

 

Decision Makers

Final Report
PowerPoint

 

 

 

 

Dream Team

Final Report
PowerPoint

 

 

 

 

Additional background

Rough estimate of a network to manage people, cargo and trash for the post. From the Blue cross, Green is 10 minutes, Yellow is 20 minutes and Red is 30 minutes. Time is for travel, ticketing and walking time. At the center of each circle is a station.

Spreadsheet on statistics

Visitor Center to Thayer Hotel

 

 

National Security Threat

Life requires energy. There is vast amounts of oil, but affordable oil is finite and mostly gone. Oil-war have been nearly perpetual since 1991.

Eight Presidents idenified this risk and delclared dependence on imported oil a threat to national securityCall to Actions. President Nixon sent his daughter Tricia to open the Morgantown PRT to demonstrate an alternative to oil-powered urban transportation.

Yet nothing substantial has been done by the Army to cut oil use by 1/3rd, so its use is within domestic production.

This end for affordable oil has been well understood since US Peak Oil was forecast in the 1950s. Quote from Admiral Rickover’s 1957 “energy slave” speech:

Fossil fuels resemble capital in the bank. A prudent and responsible parent will use his capital sparingly in order to pass on to his children as much as possible of his inheritance. A selfish and irresponsible parent will squander it in riotous living and care not one whit how his offspring will fare.

For it is an unpleasant fact that according to our best estimates, total fossil fuel reserves recoverable at not over twice today’s unit cost, are likely to run out at some time between the years 2000 and 2050, if present standards of living and population growth rates are taken into account.

Today the automobile is the most uneconomical user of energy. Its efficiency is 5% compared with 23% for the Diesel-electric railway. It is the most ravenous devourer of fossil fuels,

US Peak Oil was in 1970. Between 1970 and 2008 national debt and oil imports increased in tandem.

Pollution from burning oil may be tipping the balance of nature as noted in the Pentagon’s Abrupt Climate Change Study

Fracking Boom went bankrupt in 2020 losing ~$350 billion. U.S. oil producers on pace for most bankruptcies since last oil downturn

Joint Forces Command’s Joint Operating Environment 2010 (JOE-2010) warning to all US military commands seems to be unfolding between Russia and Ukraine:

“By 2012, surplus oil production capacity could entirely disappear, and as early as 2015, the shortfall in output could reach nearly 10 million barrels per day.”

“A severe energy crunch is inevitable without a massive expansion of production and refining capacity. While it is difficult to predict precisely what economic, political, and strategic effects such a shortfall might produce, it surely would reduce the prospects for growth in both the developing and developed worlds. Such an economic slowdown would exacerbate other unresolved tensions, push fragile and failing states further down the path toward collapse, and perhaps have serious economic impact on both China and India. At best, it would lead to periods of harsh economic adjustment. To what extent conservation measures, investments in alternative energy production, and efforts to expand petroleum production from tar sands and shale would mitigate such a period of adjustment is difficult to predict. One should not forget that the Great Depression spawned a number of totalitarian regimes that sought economic prosperity for their nations by ruthless conquest.”

“Energy production and distribution infrastructure must see significant new investment if energy demand is to be satisfied at a cost compatible with economic growth and prosperity.”

“The discovery rate for new petroleum and gas fields over the past two decades (with the possible exception of Brazil) provides little reason for optimism that future efforts will find major new fields.”

Foward by General James N Mattis

Examples of solar collector systems designed for deployment over JPods rails applied to the parking lot at Plantronic’s Headquarters in Santa Cruz, CA
Over the JPods rails, collectors will typically be 4 meters wide, this unit is 6.7 meters.  It is practical and 10 times less expensive to solar-power urban transportation.

 

 

 

 

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